I don’t get to do much at Unlikely Voter these days, but this was easy. Meet the Create Your Own Voter Model tool, a.k.a. the Unskewer.
Try out your own party identification assumptions!
Conservative views on polls, science, technology, and policy
By Neil Stevens on October 31, 2012
I don’t get to do much at Unlikely Voter these days, but this was easy. Meet the Create Your Own Voter Model tool, a.k.a. the Unskewer.
Try out your own party identification assumptions!
By Neil Stevens on June 3, 2012
By request, I’ve updated the Swingometers to include a new feature: Reverse Swingometer! Instead of plugging in a swing in the two-party vote, and getting a result in seats or electoral votes, this new features lets you plug in that result, and get the necessary swing to make that happen!
Enjoy!
By Neil Stevens on May 27, 2012
By Neil Stevens on February 9, 2012
The big story this week has been the Rick Santorum sweep in the elections. What I should be doing right now is checking whether the polls actually caught it.
But I’m away from most of my tools. The iPad is great but it’s not what I want to use for synthesizing a half dozen different sources into one post.
[More]By Neil Stevens on September 4, 2011
Swingometer is my favorite tool for projecting elections these days, but when it comes to the Presidential election, we all like to run our own scenarios. Not wanting to give up that traffic to other sites, I was obligated to write my own Create your own Electoral College tool.
Enjoy!
By Neil Stevens on September 4, 2011
I’ve added a new feature to the Swingometers: Click on a state/district and it gives more information. Simple enough, but maybe it’s handy.
By Neil Stevens on July 29, 2011
Sorry I’m behind in my polling commentary. Had a busy two weeks here. Time to start catching up.
By Neil Stevens on January 20, 2011
Once Swingometer was updated on the website, it was inevitable that the new version of Swingometer on iOS would come!
This new version has the same updates as the website (2010 House returns and 2010 Census), but also includes updates for the Retina display on iPhone 4, as well as support for the iPad’s larger screen.
Yes, iPad and iPhone are in the same purchase, so there’s no need to buy twice. I hate that myself, so I wouldn’t do that to you all. Buy today and support UnlikelyVoter.com.
By Neil Stevens on January 18, 2011
We all knew it was coming, and finally it’s here. The Swingometers have been updated. The House Swingometer includes the 2010 results as a new baseline, and the Electoral College Swingometer includes the 2010 Census-based reapportionment.
[More]By Neil Stevens on January 8, 2011
I’m really having to pull out my old textbooks and refresh myself on how to evaluate some of the new numbers I’m coming up with, with respect to the errors in the 2010 polling.
Bear with me please as I continue to prepare my new analysis.
By Neil Stevens on December 19, 2010
I know I went quiet here, and I apologize to any who were disappointed when my survey of the pollsters went dead. To be honest I think I burned out a bit in the runup to the election, and so subconsciously I gradually forced myself into a vacation.
So, an announcement: Some schedule of content will return in January. I promise.
By Neil Stevens on November 8, 2010
I know, I know. Where’s the free ice cream? I don’t have anything. It’s the offseason. Until the Presidential races start heating up (and they will faster than any of us would like them to) I’m only going to have so much to write about.
But I’m still cooking up my writeup on why some of the polling was so wrong. Promise.
By Neil Stevens on November 4, 2010
In order to test my theory as to why certain polls were wrong and others were right, I need to be sure I actually know which polls were wrong and which were right. And doing that testing again will require me to wait for the counts to complete, unfortunately.
So, we wait. I am taking suggestions on statewide races across the country, though.