Unlikely Voter

Poll Analysis and Election Projection

Bachmann leads despite national attention

TEA Party-driven politics get the bulk of the attention this year, but Democrats have targets of their own and Michele Bachmann, challenged by DFL candidate Tarryl Clark, is one of those targets.

However so far she is doing fine if SurveyUSA’s latest is to be believed.

Being in an airport I lack my usual tools to pick the poll apart, but the top line is not especially close at 49-40 (MoE 4.1) in favor of the incumbent Bachmann

She wins men, ties women, and wins independents. That would seem to be a formula for GOP victory in most districts around the country including Bachmann’s 6th of Minnesota.

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