While the 2012 House Swingometer may have problems due to redistricting making it impossible to do a perfect seat-for-seat swing, I’m going to try using it anyway to see what it says.
We have two generic ballot polls from last month. Let’s see what they might predict for the House in 2012.
I know I’m a week late to this; I had a busy two weeks there and am only now catching up this week. I do believe this poll is worth a mention anyway, though. But the Club for Growth polled Republicans in Indiana, the site of arguably the biggest TEA party primary loss in 2010, on their choice for Senator in 2012.
The conventional wisdom has always been that incumbents under 50 are vulnerable. But what do they say about incumbents under 40?