Unlikely Voter

Poll Analysis and Election Projection

Murray’s lead cut in half after the Rossi dust settles

The latest Washington Poll from the University of Washington is out, and now that the dust has settled around Dino Rossi’s entering the race, he’s still close to incumbent Patty Murray.

In fact, her lead has been cut in half from last time.

The previous Washington Poll had Murray up 44-40, but this time among Registered Voters Murray’s lead is at 42-40, with an MoE of 2.3. With that tiny Margin of Error, that still gives Murray a 67% probability of a lead at this time.

But still, Washington I expect to remain close as I do Pennsylvania and Ohio.

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