Unlikely Voter

Conservative views on polls, science, technology, and policy

Followup: The Swingometer on the Rasmussen Generic Ballot

Rasmussen Reports came out with its generic ballot today, too. Having already explained in depth how I did Gallup’s, I’ll analyze the consequences of Rasmussen’s numbers in brief.

Rasmussen comes up with a 46-54 D-R two-party vote spread (47-53 for Gallup), resulting in an R+8 edge (R+6 Gallup). That gives us an 18 point swing from 2008 (16 Gallup), and a Swingometer-generated Republican gain of 51 seats (45 Gallup).

There’s little difference between the numbers, in other words.


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