Posts Tagged ‘ Generic Ballot ’
This is it. Today’s is my final survey of the Generic Ballots. This is the last time this year I’ll ask Swingometer about the 2010 House elections.
Last week Republicans took their second straight week of a 57 seat projected gain. Will they hit 60? Will they fall below the 1994 benchmark instead?[More]
Good evening. We’re getting so very close to the end here, I may start running these more than once a week to see where they go. It depends on the interest level I see in that.
Last week it was Bloomberg filling in for Newsweek as the odd poll out, but now the original thing is here: Newsweek is back. We’ll see how far down it drags the overall average Republican gain.[More]
It’s crunch time. The lines are being drawn, the late, final strategies are forming, and voting is underway in many places (my own ballot is filled out and ready to mail). Last week all the polls fell into a fairly narrow band and gave Republicans historic gains.
So let’s see if that’s sustained, or if the Democrats are closing it up late.[More]
So Newsweek put out a new Generic Ballot. The magazine’s polling had drawn notice before in my House projection reports (this week’s edition coming later today), but this new one just seems completely out of line: Democrats +5 among Registered Voters. That filtering is expected to lean to the left after the 2008 anomaly, but this is ridiculous.[More]
It’s technically Tuesday morning early as I write this, but I’m going to use the polls released on Monday, so this will be filed as this Monday’s projection update, as always built with generic ballot polls from Real Clear Politics.
Last week the Republicans fell off from historic gains to a result with a small majority. Let’s see if the trend continues on down or not.[More]
By Neil Stevens on September 22, 2010
Nate Silver at the New York Times suggested yesterday that generic ballot polling might underestimate how well the Democrats will do in November.
Henry Olson at NRO countered by describing how it might shade the other way.
I think it’s the best tool we’ve got, and partisan bias is somewhere in the middle. Here’s why.[More]
Another week, another look at where the generic ballot polls are taking us! Last week’s House update had the Republicans gaining 60 seats in the House of Representatives, truly a historic gain wiping out the last two elections’ worth of gains for the Democrats.
But with all the new polls out since, let’s see where we are now.[More]