Rasmussen Reports came out with its generic ballot today, too. Having already explained in depth how I did Gallup’s, I’ll analyze the consequences of Rasmussen’s numbers in brief.
Rasmussen comes up with a 46-54 D-R two-party vote spread (47-53 for Gallup), resulting in an R+8 edge (R+6 Gallup). That gives us an 18 point swing from 2008 (16 Gallup), and a Swingometer-generated Republican gain of 51 seats (45 Gallup).
There’s little difference between the numbers, in other words.
House of Representatives Swingometer
Electoral College Swingometer
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