Unlikely Voter

Poll Analysis and Election Projection

Quick update: Gingrich is ahead

I said earlier today “One poll, one time, from one pollster, when two others disagree, does not make a surge.” Since then, Rasmussen Reports has announced and PPP has teased polls that confirm the Gingrich lead that InsiderAdvantage showed.

And then Rick Perry quit the race, endorsing Newt Gingrich.

Note that these new polls still show Romney close to where he’s been. Romney’s off some from his peak just a day or two ago, but he’s not down the 10 points or so that Gingrich appears to be gaining.

This could be an interesting finish yet in South Carolina.

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