Unlikely Voter

Poll Analysis and Election Projection

I’ve hit a snag

By on November 9, 2010

I’ve hit a snag

Today I started running the numbers to test my theory about why the polling was so wrong in key states this year, and I ran into a snag: my theory was not supported by my data. At least, the normal random fluctuations of polling were drowning out any relationship I hoped to find.

Much as Robert Millikan kept trying when he didn’t like his readings for the charge of the electron, I will press on. I need to find a way to sift through the noise, and I will find it.

Until then, thank you for your patience.

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