Unlikely Voter

Poll Analysis and Election Projection

Election Night Open Thread

By on November 2, 2010

Election Night Open Thread

Good Evening! Below the fold is an Associated Press chart of calls in progress.

4:25pm PT: AP has called it for Leahy, Coats, Paul, and DeMint. No surprises yet.

4:40pm PT: Portman not a surprising hold for Republicans, but it was called for him. Kasich’s inability to get a call yet just underscores his polling collapse in recent weeks.

More updates below the fold.

5:30pm PT: Back from the bank and in for the night. No Senate surprises yet: Ayotte, Mikulski, Coons, Shelby, Rubio. Lynch in NH the first Governor called. No House calls in the Black Belt.

5:40pm PT: Boozman, Isakson, Burr in the Senate. Haslam (TN), Beebe (AR) for Governor. Still waiting on a surprise. I don’t think the 62 R-23 D trend in the House per AP will last though.

5:45pm PT: Coburn, Blumenthal in the Senate. Still no upsets.

6:05pm PT: It’s the hour, so time for some more snap calls. Hoeven for Senate.

6:10pm PT: Moran, Thune, Gillibrand, Schumer for Senate. Why did AP call Hoeven before Thune? Weird. Daugaard (SD), Brownback (KS), Cuomo (NY), for Governor.

6:20pm PT: AP calls it for Manchin for Senate. Just 3 more and the Democrats keep the Senate.

6:30pm PT: A bunch more AP calls for Governor: Heineman (NE), Snyder (MI), Bentley (AL), Perry (TX).

6:40pm PT: Ehrlich: the wrong candidate in the right year. AP calls MD for Governor O’Malley.

6:45pm PT: Fallin to be the next governor of Oklahoma, says AP.

7:05pm PT: Vitter re-elected in Louisiana. AP House calls at a lopsided 120-69 split right now.

7:10pm PT: McCain, Grassley, for Senate. Mead (WY) for Governor.

7:15pm PT: Governor Patrick (MA) re-elected.

7:20pm PT: Blunt for Senate. Hickenlooper (CO), Corbett (PA) for Governor.

7:30pm PT Lee for Senate. No AP calls for the Democrats for Senate west of the Appalachians. Herbert (UT) for Governor.

7:55pm PT Haley (SC) for Governor.

8:05pm PT Crapo wins easily. CO looking surprisingly good for Bennet, possible first surprise. Quinn also up in Illinois shockingly. PA so very close for Senate.

8:10pm PT Wyden re-elected to the Senate. Otter (ID), Walker (WI) for Governor.

8:15pm PT Johnson for Senate. Toomey, Kirk, and Bennet still lead.

8:35pm PT Due for some calls I think. AP has the House now at 185-122.

8:50pm PT Boxer re-elected in her closest race ever.

8:55pm PT Toomey ekes one out.

9:05pm PT Brown (CA) gets a third term as Governor, and Deal (GA) along with Kasich (OH) get a first term. Looking good for Scott (FL), Foley (CT), Shumlin (VT), Martinez (NM), Brewer (AZ), Dayton (MN). LePage closing on Cutler (ME). 0.1% difference in IL.

9:10pm PT AP calls it for Inouye, which gives the Senate to the Democrats. Governor Brewer (AZ) wins re-election.

9:15pm PT Martinez (NM) in as Governor.

9:25pm PT Kirk beats Giannoulias. Buck tightens CO. Reid still ahead in NV. WA still very close.

9:30pm PT Sandoval (NV) takes the Governor’s race in NV.

9:45pm PT I’ve been at this for four hours, and the WA, NV, CO, CA race counts are going to be at it a while. Break time for me. Thanks for reading!

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