Unlikely Voter

Tweet

We have two new polls to look at on the Ohio Senate race, one from Quinnipiac University and the other from Public Policy Polling.

The results are very similar, so I think it’s pretty safe to say that for the moment, Lee Fisher leads Rob Portman, though by a hair.

Quinnipiac has Fisher up 42-40 (MoE 3), despite the poll having Ohio oppose the “federal health care overhaul” 55-36. PPP’s results are only slightly different, showing Fisher up 40-38 (MoE 4.5) and “President Obama’s health care plan” opposed 53-38.

These are large margins of opposition to the PPACA. Is Portman hurting himself by not coming out more strongly against it, contrary to the conventional wisdom that a moderate approach is safest in a swingy state like Ohio, and too much opposition to the President’s most important accomplishment to date is a bad idea in a state he carried? I think it could be the case.