So are Allen and Kaine really tied?

The Washington Post found that among Registered Voters, Tim Kaine and George Allen are tied at 46 in the Virginia Senate race.

Virginia Virtucon’s Riley thinks that’s a bit misleading, though.

I guess in theory the poll could be accurate, but when the poll is apparently projecting a sharp (more than one quarter) drop in the Republican share of the vote, driving it down below 1964 levels, I’m skeptical.

Whether it’s just an outlier, or a greater methodological problem, I can’t say. But I’m not about to call the race tied based on this poll.